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MODEL STATISTICS

Prediction Win Rate by bet type and league. Updated after every match.

+5.8%

ROI

59.5%

Win Rate

582

Total Bets

1.93

Avg Odds

At an average price of 1.93 the break-even hit rate is 51.8%. The model holds 59.5% — the gap above that line is where the profit comes from. Every $100 staked returned $106.

Stakes are a share of bank, not a flat amount, and this ROI uses the stake published with each signal. Across 562 bets with a recorded stake the record comes to +105.0% of bank — simple, not compounded.

Month by month

ROI is what came back on the money staked. A bar pointing down is a losing month — those are published too.

+14.8%

Apr

155

+7.6%

May

+34.1%

Aug

+2.2%

Sep

132

-8.8%

Oct

135

April 2026: 110/155 · 71%May 2026: 61/92 · 66%August 2026: 31/48 · 65%September 2026: 67/132 · 51%October 2026: 62/135 · 46%

🏆 Best “League + Market” Combinations

Over 3.5(La Liga)

ROI +58.3%

80% accuracy8W / 2L(10 bets)

Avg odds: 2.04Avg edge: +16.0%

Under 3.5(RPL)

ROI +24.5%

88% accuracy14W / 2L(16 bets)

Avg odds: 1.45Avg edge: +10.0%

Over 2.5(RPL)

ROI +23.3%

64% accuracy7W / 4L(11 bets)

Avg odds: 1.96Avg edge: +16.5%

Under 2.5(Premier League)

ROI +19.1%

59% accuracy10W / 7L(17 bets)

Avg odds: 1.98Avg edge: +13.5%

Under 3.5(Premier League)

ROI +17.9%

74% accuracy23W / 8L(31 bets)

Avg odds: 1.52Avg edge: +9.7%

Over 3.5(Bundesliga)

ROI +16.1%

67% accuracy8W / 4L(12 bets)

Avg odds: 1.96Avg edge: +16.9%

* Minimum 10 predictions required to enter the ranking

📊 Win Rate by Bet Type

Draw

ROI +58.7%

33% accuracy6W / 12L(18 bets)

Avg odds: 4.06Avg edge: +13.1%

Double Chance X2

ROI +29.9%

80% accuracy8W / 2L(10 bets)

Avg odds: 1.58Avg edge: +10.1%

Away Win

ROI +18.1%

58% accuracy15W / 11L(26 bets)

Avg odds: 2.11Avg edge: +15.4%

Under 2.5

ROI +11.0%

63% accuracy78W / 45L(123 bets)

Avg odds: 1.81Avg edge: +12.2%

Over 2.5

ROI +7.6%

64% accuracy37W / 21L(58 bets)

Avg odds: 1.76Avg edge: +15.4%

Over 3.5

ROI +7.0%

49% accuracy28W / 29L(57 bets)

Avg odds: 2.46Avg edge: +15.5%

Under 3.5

ROI +4.4%

71% accuracy100W / 41L(141 bets)

Avg odds: 1.49Avg edge: +9.8%

Home Win

ROI +4.1%

50% accuracy12W / 12L(24 bets)

Avg odds: 2.38Avg edge: +14.8%

BTTS Yes

ROI -6.0%

55% accuracy27W / 22L(49 bets)

Avg odds: 1.73Avg edge: +14.5%

BTTS No

ROI -10.1%

42% accuracy21W / 29L(50 bets)

Avg odds: 2.04Avg edge: +17.5%

🧪 Not enough data yet

These markets have between 3 and 9 settled bets — at that size the percentage is noise and nothing can be concluded from it. They stay visible so it never looks like we only show the markets that worked.

Under 1.5

ROI +0.9%

25% accuracy2W / 6L(8 bets)

Avg odds: 3.19Avg edge: +13.5%

Asian Handicap гости +0.5

ROI -51.6%

25% accuracy1W / 3L(4 bets)

Avg odds: 2.27Avg edge: +12.6%

Over 1.5

ROI -32.5%

67% accuracy2W / 1L(3 bets)

Avg odds: 1.35Avg edge: +6.9%

Asian Handicap хозяева -0.5

ROI +10.4%

67% accuracy2W / 1L(3 bets)

Avg odds: 1.94Avg edge: +9.7%

Asian Handicap хозяева -1.5

ROI +84.7%

67% accuracy2W / 1L(3 bets)

Avg odds: 2.92Avg edge: +17.9%

🌍 Breakdown by League

Premier League

Bets: 90Hit rate: 62%Avg odds: 1.94Break-even: 52%ROI: +10.1%

Under 2.5

ROI +19.1%

59% accuracy10W / 7L(17 bets)

Avg odds: 1.98Avg edge: +13.5%

Over 2.5

ROI -13.8%

60% accuracy6W / 4L(10 bets)

Avg odds: 1.69Avg edge: +13.3%

Under 3.5

ROI +17.9%

74% accuracy23W / 8L(31 bets)

Avg odds: 1.52Avg edge: +9.7%

La Liga

Bets: 108Hit rate: 62%Avg odds: 1.88Break-even: 53%ROI: +9.7%

BTTS Yes

ROI -20.8%

50% accuracy5W / 5L(10 bets)

Avg odds: 1.69Avg edge: +14.5%

Over 3.5

ROI +58.3%

80% accuracy8W / 2L(10 bets)

Avg odds: 2.04Avg edge: +16.0%

BTTS No

ROI -7.5%

46% accuracy6W / 7L(13 bets)

Avg odds: 1.91Avg edge: +16.9%

Under 2.5

ROI -4.6%

59% accuracy16W / 11L(27 bets)

Avg odds: 1.82Avg edge: +12.2%

Under 3.5

ROI +2.0%

74% accuracy17W / 6L(23 bets)

Avg odds: 1.45Avg edge: +9.5%

Bundesliga

Bets: 60Hit rate: 58%Avg odds: 1.82Break-even: 55%ROI: -3.1%

Over 3.5

ROI +16.1%

67% accuracy8W / 4L(12 bets)

Avg odds: 1.96Avg edge: +16.9%

Under 3.5

ROI +1.6%

61% accuracy11W / 7L(18 bets)

Avg odds: 1.61Avg edge: +10.8%

Serie A

Bets: 88Hit rate: 59%Avg odds: 1.84Break-even: 54%ROI: -2.7%

Under 2.5

ROI +7.5%

71% accuracy20W / 8L(28 bets)

Avg odds: 1.70Avg edge: +12.0%

Under 3.5

ROI -17.9%

67% accuracy16W / 8L(24 bets)

Avg odds: 1.41Avg edge: +8.8%

Ligue 1

Bets: 77Hit rate: 61%Avg odds: 2.01Break-even: 50%ROI: +13.1%

Under 3.5

ROI +9.5%

70% accuracy19W / 8L(27 bets)

Avg odds: 1.52Avg edge: +10.5%

Under 2.5

ROI +4.1%

58% accuracy7W / 5L(12 bets)

Avg odds: 1.78Avg edge: +11.4%

Championship

Bets: 67Hit rate: 51%Avg odds: 2.18Break-even: 46%ROI: +8.3%

BTTS No

ROI -24.3%

30% accuracy3W / 7L(10 bets)

Avg odds: 2.04Avg edge: +17.0%

Over 3.5

ROI -1.2%

38% accuracy5W / 8L(13 bets)

Avg odds: 2.98Avg edge: +14.1%

BTTS Yes

ROI +11.4%

62% accuracy8W / 5L(13 bets)

Avg odds: 1.68Avg edge: +13.9%

📐 How We Calculate

• Win Rate — percentage of winning bets out of the total

• Edge — the model's advantage over the bookmaker line

• Every prediction is published before kick-off in Telegram

• Statistics update automatically after each match