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MODEL STATISTICS

Prediction Win Rate by bet type and league. Updated after every match.

+12.5%

ROI

65.8%

Win Rate

366

Total Bets

1.79

Avg Odds

At an average price of 1.79 the break-even hit rate is 55.9%. The model holds 65.8% — the gap above that line is where the profit comes from. Every $100 staked returned $113.

Stakes are a share of bank, not a flat amount, and this ROI uses the stake published with each signal. Across 346 bets with a recorded stake the record comes to +129.0% of bank — simple, not compounded.

Month by month

ROI is what came back on the money staked. A bar pointing down is a losing month — those are published too.

+14.8%

Apr

155

+7.6%

May

+34.1%

Aug

-5.2%

Sep

April 2026: 110/155 · 71%May 2026: 61/92 · 66%August 2026: 31/48 · 65%September 2026: 24/51 · 47%

🏆 Best “League + Market” Combinations

Under 2.5(Premier League)

ROI +30.4%

64% accuracy7W / 4L(11 bets)

Avg odds: 2.00Avg edge: +12.2%

Under 2.5(Serie A)

ROI +28.8%

80% accuracy20W / 5L(25 bets)

Avg odds: 1.66Avg edge: +11.5%

Under 3.5(RPL)

ROI +19.3%

86% accuracy12W / 2L(14 bets)

Avg odds: 1.44Avg edge: +10.3%

Under 3.5(Premier League)

ROI +16.9%

73% accuracy19W / 7L(26 bets)

Avg odds: 1.54Avg edge: +10.1%

Under 2.5(Ligue 1)

ROI +5.1%

60% accuracy6W / 4L(10 bets)

Avg odds: 1.76Avg edge: +11.7%

Under 3.5(Ligue 1)

ROI +4.9%

68% accuracy17W / 8L(25 bets)

Avg odds: 1.52Avg edge: +10.6%

* Minimum 10 predictions required to enter the ranking

📊 Win Rate by Bet Type

Over 3.5

ROI +62.5%

70% accuracy14W / 6L(20 bets)

Avg odds: 2.37Avg edge: +12.8%

Double Chance X2

ROI +29.9%

80% accuracy8W / 2L(10 bets)

Avg odds: 1.58Avg edge: +10.1%

Away Win

ROI +22.5%

60% accuracy6W / 4L(10 bets)

Avg odds: 2.05Avg edge: +14.8%

BTTS Yes

ROI +16.9%

70% accuracy14W / 6L(20 bets)

Avg odds: 1.76Avg edge: +14.4%

Under 2.5

ROI +11.6%

65% accuracy67W / 36L(103 bets)

Avg odds: 1.78Avg edge: +11.2%

BTTS No

ROI +11.2%

50% accuracy9W / 9L(18 bets)

Avg odds: 1.97Avg edge: +16.9%

Over 2.5

ROI +3.8%

65% accuracy15W / 8L(23 bets)

Avg odds: 1.73Avg edge: +13.8%

Under 3.5

ROI +0.6%

69% accuracy91W / 40L(131 bets)

Avg odds: 1.49Avg edge: +10.0%

Home Win

ROI -4.2%

46% accuracy6W / 7L(13 bets)

Avg odds: 2.36Avg edge: +15.7%

🧪 Not enough data yet

These markets have between 3 and 9 settled bets — at that size the percentage is noise and nothing can be concluded from it. They stay visible so it never looks like we only show the markets that worked.

Draw

ROI +77.7%

40% accuracy2W / 3L(5 bets)

Avg odds: 4.24Avg edge: +13.8%

Under 1.5

ROI +12.8%

25% accuracy1W / 3L(4 bets)

Avg odds: 2.85Avg edge: +14.7%