Aston Villa vs Manchester City
Premier League • 24 Oct 2026 • 11:30 UTC
MODEL VERDICT
No value found — no bet recommended
The calculated probabilities matched the bookmaker's prices: there is no edge here. The model rates every fixture of the day but publishes a signal in roughly half of them — in the rest a bet makes no sense.
See matches with a signal →1X2
Aston Villa
4.0%Draw
6.0%Manchester City
90.0%Aston Villa
Manchester City
MEDIUM
Edge: +-10.34%
Analysis
Premier League. A high-scoring match is expected.
### Outcome Probabilities
- Aston Villa Win — 4%
- Draw — 6%
- Manchester City Win — 89%
- Over 2.5 — 84%
- BTTS Yes — 51%
### Team Form
- Aston Villa at home: 53%
- Manchester City away: 100%
### Head-to-Head
In the last 10 head-to-head matches: 4 Aston Villa wins, 1 draw, 5 Manchester City wins.
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