Derby vs Stoke City
Championship • 17 Oct 2026 • 14:00 UTC
MODEL VERDICT
No value found — no bet recommended
The calculated probabilities matched the bookmaker's prices: there is no edge here. The model rates every fixture of the day but publishes a signal in roughly half of them — in the rest a bet makes no sense.
See matches with a signal →1X2
Derby
19.0%Draw
19.0%Stoke City
62.0%Derby
Stoke City
HIGH
Edge: +-3.19%
Analysis
Championship. A high-scoring match is expected.
### Outcome Probabilities
- Derby Win — 19%
- Draw — 19%
- Stoke City Win — 62%
- Over 2.5 — 68%
- BTTS Yes — 62%
### Team Form
- Derby at home: 13%
- Stoke City away: 87%
### Head-to-Head
In the last 10 head-to-head matches: 5 Derby wins, 2 draws, 3 Stoke City wins.
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Get signals first
Every prediction — with exact stake — is published in Telegram before kick-off