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FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen

Bundesliga • 10 Oct 2026 • 13:30 UTC

MODEL VERDICT
No value found — no bet recommended

The calculated probabilities matched the bookmaker's prices: there is no edge here. The model rates every fixture of the day but publishes a signal in roughly half of them — in the rest a bet makes no sense.

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1X2
FSV Mainz 05
10.0%
Draw
15.0%
Bayer Leverkusen
75.0%
AttackDefenseForm
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
LOW
Edge: +4.5%

Analysis

Bundesliga. A high-scoring match is expected. ### Outcome Probabilities - FSV Mainz 05 Win — 10% - Draw — 15% - Bayer Leverkusen Win — 75% - Over 2.5 — 71% - BTTS Yes — 56% ### Team Form - FSV Mainz 05 at home: 58% - Bayer Leverkusen away: 58% ### Head-to-Head In the last 10 head-to-head matches: 2 FSV Mainz 05 wins, 2 draws, 6 Bayer Leverkusen wins. ###
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