Alaves vs Atletico Madrid
La Liga • 10 Oct 2026 • 14:15 UTC
MODEL VERDICT
No value found — no bet recommended
The calculated probabilities matched the bookmaker's prices: there is no edge here. The model rates every fixture of the day but publishes a signal in roughly half of them — in the rest a bet makes no sense.
See matches with a signal →1X2
Alaves
40.0%Draw
17.0%Atletico Madrid
43.0%Alaves
Atletico Madrid
LOW
Edge: +2.17%
Analysis
La Liga. A high-scoring match is expected.
### Outcome Probabilities
- Alaves Win — 40%
- Draw — 17%
- Atletico Madrid Win — 43%
- Over 2.5 — 71%
- BTTS Yes — 64%
### Team Form
- Alaves at home: 47%
- Atletico Madrid away: 80%
### Head-to-Head
In the last 10 head-to-head matches: 2 Alaves wins, 2 draws, 6 Atletico Madrid wins.
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