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Lens vs Lyon

Ligue 1 • 9 Oct 2026 • 18:45 UTC

MODEL VERDICT
No value found — no bet recommended

The calculated probabilities matched the bookmaker's prices: there is no edge here. The model rates every fixture of the day but publishes a signal in roughly half of them — in the rest a bet makes no sense.

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1X2
Lens
4.0%
Draw
10.0%
Lyon
86.0%
AttackDefenseForm
Lens
Lyon
LOW
Edge: +4.8%

Analysis

Ligue 1. A high-scoring match is expected. ### Outcome Probabilities - Lens Win — 4% - Draw — 10% - Lyon Win — 86% - Over 2.5 — 68% - BTTS Yes — 39% ### Team Form - Lens at home: 27% - Lyon away: 73% ### Head-to-Head In the last 9 meetings: 5 Lens wins, 2 draws, 2 Lyon wins. ###
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