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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

Premier League12 Sep 2026 • 14:00 UTC

MODEL VERDICT
No value found — no bet recommended

The calculated probabilities matched the bookmaker's prices: there is no edge here. The model rates every fixture of the day but publishes a signal in roughly half of them — in the rest a bet makes no sense.

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1X2
Aston Villa
7.0%
Draw
34.0%
Nottingham Forest
59.0%
AttackDefenseForm
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
LOW
Edge: +12.53%

Analysis

Premier League. A tight, low-scoring match is expected. ### Outcome Probabilities - Aston Villa Win — 7% - Draw — 34% - Nottingham Forest Win — 59% - Over 2.5 — 14% - BTTS Yes — 7% ### Team Form - Aston Villa at home: 11% - Nottingham Forest away: 22% ### Head-to-Head In the last 10 head-to-head matches: 5 Aston Villa wins, 2 draws, 3 Nottingham Forest wins. ###
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