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AS Roma vs Atalanta

Serie A • 5 Sep 2026 • 18:45 UTC

MODEL VERDICT
No value found — no bet recommended

The calculated probabilities matched the bookmaker's prices: there is no edge here. The model rates every fixture of the day but publishes a signal in roughly half of them — in the rest a bet makes no sense.

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1X2
AS Roma
44.0%
Draw
25.0%
Atalanta
31.0%
AttackDefenseForm
AS Roma
Atalanta
LOW
Edge: +1.4%

Analysis

Serie A. A match with average scoring is expected. ### Outcome Probabilities - AS Roma Win — 44% - Draw — 25% - Atalanta Win — 31% - Over 2.5 — 53% - BTTS Yes — 56% ### Team Form - AS Roma at home: 100% - Atalanta away: 100% ### Head-to-Head In the last 10 head-to-head matches: 2 AS Roma wins, 2 draws, 6 Atalanta wins. ###
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