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Portsmouth vs Derby

Championship • 1 Sep 2026 • 18:45 UTC

MODEL VERDICT
No value found — no bet recommended

The calculated probabilities matched the bookmaker's prices: there is no edge here. The model rates every fixture of the day but publishes a signal in roughly half of them — in the rest a bet makes no sense.

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1X2
Portsmouth
19.0%
Draw
17.0%
Derby
64.0%
AttackDefenseForm
Portsmouth
Derby
LOW
Edge: +108.97%

Analysis

Championship. A high-scoring match is expected. ### Outcome Probabilities - Portsmouth Win — 19% - Draw — 17% - Derby Win — 64% - Over 2.5 — 79% - BTTS Yes — 72% ### Team Form - Portsmouth at home: 50% - Derby away: 17% ### Head-to-Head In the last 10 meetings: 1 Portsmouth win, 6 draws, 3 Derby wins. ###
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