Derby vs Swansea
Championship • 29 Aug 2026 • 11:30 UTC
MODEL VERDICT
No value found — no bet recommended
The calculated probabilities matched the bookmaker's prices: there is no edge here. The model rates every fixture of the day but publishes a signal in roughly half of them — in the rest a bet makes no sense.
See matches with a signal →1X2
Derby
17.0%Draw
22.0%Swansea
61.0%Derby
Swansea
LOW
Edge: +8.47%
Analysis
Championship. A match with average scoring is expected.
### Outcome Probabilities
- Derby Win — 17%
- Draw — 22%
- Swansea Win — 61%
- Over 2.5 — 47%
- BTTS Yes — 44%
### Team Form
- Derby at home: 17%
- Swansea away: 67%
### Head-to-Head
In the last 10 head-to-head matches: 4 Derby wins, 2 draws, 4 Swansea wins.
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Get signals first
Every prediction — with exact stake — is published in Telegram before kick-off