Derby vs Cardiff
Championship • 22 Aug 2026 • 14:00 UTC
MODEL VERDICT
No value found — no bet recommended
The calculated probabilities matched the bookmaker's prices: there is no edge here. The model rates every fixture of the day but publishes a signal in roughly half of them — in the rest a bet makes no sense.
See matches with a signal →1X2
Derby
42.0%Draw
27.0%Cardiff
31.0%Derby
Cardiff
MEDIUM
Edge: +7%
Analysis
Championship. A match with average scoring is expected.
### Outcome Probabilities
- Derby Win — 42%
- Draw — 27%
- Cardiff Win — 31%
- Over 2.5 — 44%
- BTTS Yes — 49%
### Head-to-Head
In the last 10 head-to-head matches: 2 Derby wins, 3 draws, 5 Cardiff wins.
###
Get signals first
Every prediction — with exact stake — is published in Telegram before kick-off