Birmingham vs Bristol City
Championship • 22 Aug 2026 • 11:30 UTC
MODEL VERDICT
No value found — no bet recommended
The calculated probabilities matched the bookmaker's prices: there is no edge here. The model rates every fixture of the day but publishes a signal in roughly half of them — in the rest a bet makes no sense.
See matches with a signal →1X2
Birmingham
42.0%Draw
27.0%Bristol City
31.0%Birmingham
Bristol City
MEDIUM
Edge: +15%
Analysis
Championship. A tight, low-scoring match is expected.
### Outcome Probabilities
- Birmingham Win — 42%
- Draw — 27%
- Bristol City Win — 31%
- Over 2.5 — 44%
- BTTS Yes — 49%
### Team Form
- Birmingham at home: 33%
### Head-to-Head
In the last 10 head-to-head matches: 6 Birmingham wins, 1 draw, 3 Bristol City wins.
### Injuries & Suspensions
- Birmingham: M. Ducksch (Inactive), T. Gardner-Hickman (Inactive), M. Leonard (Achilles Tendon Injury), L. Buchanan (Knee Injury), M. Ducksch (Inactive), T. Gardner-Hickman (Inactive), M. Leonard (Achilles Tendon Injury), L. Buchanan (Knee Injury)
- Bristol City: L. McNally (Knee Injury), A. Randell (Red Card), O. Thomas (Injury), L. McNally (Knee Injury), A. Randell (Red Card), O. Thomas (Injury)
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