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Marseille vs Strasbourg

Ligue 1 • 21 Aug 2026 • 18:45 UTC

MODEL VERDICT
No value found — no bet recommended

The calculated probabilities matched the bookmaker's prices: there is no edge here. The model rates every fixture of the day but publishes a signal in roughly half of them — in the rest a bet makes no sense.

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1X2
Marseille
39.0%
Draw
28.0%
Strasbourg
33.0%
AttackDefenseForm
Marseille
Strasbourg
LOW
Edge: +13.86%

Analysis

Ligue 1. A match with average scoring is expected. ### Outcome Probabilities - Marseille Win — 39% - Draw — 28% - Strasbourg Win — 33% - Over 2.5 — 44% - BTTS Yes — 50% ### Injury Report - Marseille: Q. Timber (Yellow Cards), N. Aguerd (Groin Injury), L. Balerdi (Calf Injury), F. Moumbagna (Injury), Q. Timber (Yellow Cards), N. Aguerd (Groin Injury), L. Balerdi (Calf Injury), F. Moumbagna (Injury) - Strasbourg: J. Panichelli (Knee Injury), B. Chilwell (Hamstring Injury), J. Panichelli (Knee Injury), B. Chilwell (Hamstring Injury) ###
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