CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov
RPL • 21 Apr 2026 • 16:45 UTC
MODEL VERDICT
No value found — no bet recommended
The calculated probabilities matched the bookmaker's prices: there is no edge here. The model rates every fixture of the day but publishes a signal in roughly half of them — in the rest a bet makes no sense.
See matches with a signal →1X2
CSKA Moscow
52.0%Draw
32.0%FC Rostov
16.0%CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
LOW
Edge: +0%
Analysis
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BETSKOP AI | ANALYSIS WITHOUT ODDS
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CSKA Moscow — Rostov
━━ ANALYSIS
CSKA are in excellent home form — 9 wins from 12 home matches. Rostov are extremely weak away — only 3 wins from 12. In head-to-head meetings, CSKA dominate at home. Statistics show the home side's advantage in attack (2.0 vs 0.8 away for the visitors).
CALCULATED PROBABILITIES
CSKA Win: 56%
Draw: 28%
Rostov Win: 16%
Under 2.5: 56%
BTTS No: 59%
No value bet found
Reason: no market odds available to compare against calculated probabilities.
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**DETAILED CALCULATION (for verification only):**
**Poisson model:**
- Home lambda = 1.38 × 0.76 × 1.45 = 1.82
- Away lambda = 0.70 × 0.87 × 1.15 = 0.70
**After adjustments:**
- CSKA (+4% for excellent home form): win 56%
- Rostov (-4% for poor away form): win 16%
- Draw: 28%
Without odds it is impossible to identify a value bet. The match requires current market prices to complete the analysis.
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