Napoli vs AC Milan
Serie A • 6 Apr 2026 • 18:45 UTC
MODEL VERDICT
No value found — no bet recommended
The calculated probabilities matched the bookmaker's prices: there is no edge here. The model rates every fixture of the day but publishes a signal in roughly half of them — in the rest a bet makes no sense.
See matches with a signal →1X2
Napoli
41.0%Draw
30.0%AC Milan
29.0%Napoli
AC Milan
HIGH
Edge: +11.2%
Analysis
MATCH OF THE DAY
━━ STATISTICS
Form (5 matches): 80% — 60%
Home record: 10W-4D-0L
Away record: 9W-5D-1L
Avg. goals at home: scores 1.80 / concedes 0.90
Avg. goals away: scores 1.70 / concedes 0.70
H2H (10 matches): Napoli 4W-2D-4L Milan (evenly matched)
ADJUSTMENTS
Form: +3% to Napoli (excellent home form 80% vs 60% for the visitors)
H2H: +1% to Napoli (evenly matched in head-to-head meetings)
Napoli injuries: -2% attack (several key players missing)
Final: 69%
Get signals first
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