Juventus vs Genoa
Serie A • 6 Apr 2026 • 16:00 UTC
✓ PREDICTION WONResult: 2:0
All Results →Prediction
Under 2.5
Odds1.85
Edge+9.2%
Stake %2.8%
Confidence★★★★☆ (High)
AI System
Calc. Probability62.2%
Implied54.1%
1X2
Juventus
47.0%Draw
34.0%Genoa
19.0%Juventus
Genoa
HIGH
Edge: +9.2%
Analysis
MATCH OF THE DAY
━━ STATISTICS
Form (5 matches): 53% — 60%
Home record: 8W-6D-1L
Away record: 3W-5D-6L
Avg. goals at home: scores 2.00 / concedes 0.90
Avg. goals away: scores 1.20 / concedes 1.50
H2H (9 matches): Juventus 6W-2D-1L, average 1.2 goals per match
ADJUSTMENTS
- Juventus home defence: excellent (0.9 goals at home), μ reduced by 15% → 0.79
- H2H low-scoring history: average 1.2 goals, λ reduced by 10% → 1.85
- Recalculation: λ = 1.85, μ = 0.79, total = 2.64
After adjustments:
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