Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga • 5 Apr 2026 • 13:30 UTC
✓ PREDICTION WONResult: 1:1
All Results →Prediction
Under 2.5
Odds1.57
Edge+11.8%
Stake %3.1%
Confidence★★★★☆ (High)
AI System
Calc. Probability72.9%
Implied63.7%
1X2
Union Berlin
43.0%Draw
36.0%FC St. Pauli
21.0%Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
HIGH
Edge: +11.8%
Analysis
MATCH OF THE DAY
━━ STATISTICS
Form (5 matches): 40% — 47%
Home record: 4W-5D-4L
Away record: 2W-2D-10L
Avg. goals at home: scores 1.40 / concedes 1.60
Avg. goals away: scores 0.70 / concedes 1.70
H2H (10 matches): Union 8W — 0D — 2L St. Pauli
ADJUSTMENTS
H2H: Union dominates (8 out of 10) → +5% to Home Win, -5% to Under 2.5
Away team injuries: 5 injured vs 2 for the hosts → -3% to away attack
Weak away attack: 0.70 goals (0.64 coeff.) → additional -2% to BTTS
Final probability Under 2.5: 72.9%
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