Monaco vs Marseille
Ligue 1 • 5 Apr 2026 • 18:45 UTC
✓ PREDICTION WONResult: 2:1
All Results →Prediction
Under 3.5
Odds1.55
Edge+12.3%
Stake %2.8%
Confidence★★★★☆ (High)
AI System
Calc. Probability77.4%
Implied64.5%
1X2
Monaco
52.0%Draw
27.0%Marseille
21.0%Monaco
Marseille
HIGH
Edge: +12.3%
Analysis
MATCH OF THE DAY
━━ STATISTICS
Form (5 matches): 100% — 60%
Home record: 9W-1D-4L
Away record: 6W-1D-6L
Avg. goals at home: scores 2.10 / concedes 1.40
Avg. goals away: scores 1.50 / concedes 1.40
Failed to score: Monaco at home 1 time / Marseille away 5 times
Away defence adjustment:
After adjustment:
ADJUSTMENTS
+5% to Monaco's defence (100% home form)
+2% to Under 3.5 (Marseille failed to score away 5 times out of 13)
Injury impact: Monaco missing 6 players, Marseille missing 3 key players
Final probability Under 3.5: 77.4%
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