Metz vs Nantes

MATCH OF THE DAY ━━ STATISTICS Form (5 matches): 7% — 20% Home record: 2W-3D-8L Away record: 2W-3D-7L Avg. goals at home: scores 1.00 / concedes 1.80 Avg. goals away: scores 0.80 / concedes 1.60 H2H (10 matches): Metz 5W — 4D — 1L Nantes (strong home advantage) After injuries and weak attacks: λ = 1.25, μ = 0.80 Final total: 2.05 ADJUSTMENTS Poor attacks from both sides: λ reduced from 1.19 to 1.15, μ from 1.31 to 0.85 (-5%) Multiple injuries at Metz (6 players): λ further reduced to 1.25, μ to 0.80 (-3%) Very poor home form (7%): additional attack adjustment (-3%) Final λ = 1.25, μ = 0.80