Angers vs Lyon
Ligue 1 • 5 Apr 2026 • 13:00 UTC
✓ PREDICTION WONResult: 0:0
All Results →Prediction
Under 2.5
Odds1.8
Edge+9.2%
Stake %2.8%
Confidence★★★★☆ (High)
AI System
Calc. Probability65.6%
Implied55.6%
1X2
Angers
19.0%Draw
35.0%Lyon
46.0%Angers
Lyon
HIGH
Edge: +9.2%
Analysis
MATCH OF THE DAY
━━ STATISTICS
Form (5 matches): 20% — 13%
Home record: 6W-2D-5L
Away record: 5W-4D-5L
Avg. goals at home: scores 1.20 / concedes 1.20
Avg. goals away: scores 1.40 / concedes 1.40
H2H (9 matches): Angers 1W — 0D — 8L vs Lyon (Lyon dominance)
ADJUSTMENTS
• Poor form for both teams: -2% to attack = λ=0.82, μ=1.51
• H2H record (Lyon 8/9): +3% to Lyon win, -3% to Angers win
• Clean sheets: Angers (5/13=38%) and Lyon (6/14=43%) → -2% to BTTS Yes
• Key player injuries at both clubs: additional reduction to attack
Recalculated with adjustments:
Final probability: 65.6%
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